A set of predictions for the 17/18 Champions League Group Stage, using income figures for the 32 clubs alone.
Why MONEYBALL is a myth, and how to predict the UEFA Champions League Groups using club income alone.
As we go to the polls once again; why are opinion polls so bad? How can we make better predictions about elections? Is the betting market a better guide? Who will win the 2017 UK General Election? And will it be decided by the Invisible Hand?
I entered a story in the Scottish Book Trust’s 50-Word Fiction Competition.
Alpha is a measure of genuine skill or achievement, with the benefits of built-in advantages stripped out. It is used in finance to measure investment skill, and it can be used in sports and betting too.
As the day of voting for the US Presidency looms, predictions and forecasts based on opinion polls are in the news. But few of them seem to agree! How does a pro sports trader look at modelling an event like an election?
Remember when you thought George W Bush was the bottom? The awful and brutally long US Presidential Election process is nearing its end, but at least 538 is a good guide through the mire.
Are Jose Mourinho and Pep Guardiola really the messiahs, or are they just very over-rated boys? How much do coaches matter?