At a top professional football club, the identity of the head coach doesn’t matter all that much. Getting ahead as a coach is mostly about being in the right place at the right time, and avoiding getting the blame for things that are actually out of your control.
In a US Presidential election year, lots of people are analysing, modelling and betting on political election markets. Can pro sports bettors give them any pointers?
“Football is a results business” – so goes the old football cliché. But fixating on short-term results is a really inefficient thing for any organisation to do. Professional gamblers look instead for underlying value, and so should (almost) everybody else.
Does analytics actually work? It is unquestionably cool and fashionable. But is it over-hyped? Is Moneyball a myth? And can sports teams learn anything from professional sports bettors?
Can you use Poisson to help with your betting on football games?